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Hedging

Diagram of the benchmark futures price plus the local basis making the delivered price

Hedging is locking in a fuel price ahead of time to protect your margin. You give up the chance of a windfall in return for safety from a painful price spike.

Fuel prices swing hard and fast, and a business that buys at one price and sells at another can be wrecked by a sudden move. Hedging is the way some companies tame that. Using futures, contracts traded on an exchange that fix a price for a future date, or similar tools, they set part of their cost in advance instead of leaving it to the market.

The trade is even. If you lock a price and the market falls, you miss the cheaper fuel. If you lock and the market jumps, you are protected. Hedging is not a bet on prices going up or down. It turns a wild, unknown price into a known one so you can plan and quote with confidence.

It matters most to a business that has already promised a fixed price to a customer, such as a fleet on a set contract or a heating oil dealer offering a capped winter price. Hedging lets them stand behind that promise without gambling the whole margin on where the market goes.

In useThe jobber signed a fleet to a fixed price for the year and hedged the gallons, so a midwinter spike could not turn that contract into a loss.

See also Futures, Spot price, Working capital

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